Package: rollcast Type: Package Title: Probabilistic Forecasting with Adaptive Mixtures of Rolling Statistics Version: 0.1.0 Authors@R: person( given = "Giancarlo", family = "Vercellino", email = "giancarlo.vercellino@gmail.com", role = c("aut", "cre") ) Description: Implements a probabilistic time-series forecasting framework based on adaptive mixtures of rolling statistical anchors. Rolling means, medians, minimum and maximum values, regression endpoints, and user-specified quantiles define candidate forecast locations. A proper-score gating model assigns state-dependent mixture weights, optional state-conditional residual sampling adds local dispersion, and recursive simulation produces marginal and joint predictive distributions. Numeric hyperparameters can be supplied as scalars or candidate vectors for causal validation-based selection. License: MIT + file LICENSE Encoding: UTF-8 Depends: R (>= 4.1.0) Imports: Rcpp (>= 1.0.12), stats, graphics, grDevices, utils LinkingTo: Rcpp Suggests: testthat (>= 3.0.0), knitr, rmarkdown VignetteBuilder: knitr Config/testthat/edition: 3 NeedsCompilation: yes RoxygenNote: 7.3.3 Packaged: 2026-10-03 12:40:56 UTC; root Author: Giancarlo Vercellino [aut, cre] Maintainer: Giancarlo Vercellino Repository: https://pigian.r-universe.dev Date/Publication: 2026-09-02 14:37:08 UTC RemoteUrl: https://github.com/cran/rollcast RemoteRef: HEAD RemoteSha: e3b36d9e21728320de6d001ff82f76787d4cfcb5